
Insights

May 9, 2025
Market Highlights
We started April with sharp declines in the market. The dramatic selloff over April 3rd and 4th followed President Trump’s announcement of sweeping new tariffs, sparking heightened fears of a global trade war. On April 3rd the S&P dropped 4.8%, the Nasdaq 5.97% and the Dow 3.98%. On April 4th, China announced retaliatory tariffs triggering another 5.5% drop in the Dow and nearly 6% in the S&P and Nasdaq. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq experienced their worst weekly performances since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Despite the declines and subsequent volatility, the market recouped nearly all of its April losses by the end of the month, after posting seven consecutive days of gains. Following an 11.2% month-to-date drop on 4/8 and an 11.8% rally from that point through the end of month, the S&P finished the month down just 0.8%. The Nasdaq Composite ended the month up 0.9%. The S&P is still down year to date 7.8%. While uncertainty and headline risk remain a common theme amongst many analysts, during a turbulent month the major indices have shown resilience.
Of the asset classes we follow, the best performing one for the month was Developed Foreign Stocks (MSCI EAFE) with a 4.2% return. The worst performing was Commodities (Bloomberg Commodity Index) with a -5.1% return.
S&P groups similar companies into 11 sectors; when we dig into the S&P 500's performance, we find that 5 of the sectors were up, 6 were down, 1 was down by more than 5%.
The best performing sector was Information Technology with a 1.6% return. The biggest contributor to this outperformance was Microsoft Corp, which is the third largest stock in the sector and had a return of 5.3%. The second best performing sector was Consumer Staples with a 1.1% return. The biggest contributor to this outperformance was Walmart Inc, the second largest stock in the sector, with a return of 10.8%.

Meanwhile Energy posted the worst return at -13.7%. The biggest contributor to this underperformance was Exxon Mobil Corp, which is the largest stock in the sector and had a return of -11.2%. The second worst performing sector was Health Care with a -3.8% return. The biggest contributor to this underperformance was UnitedHealth Group Inc, which is the second largest stock in the sector and had a return of -21.4%.

Thoughts from The Team
You have likely heard news pundits discuss the odds of a recession and/or a bear market. While it remains to be seen what the effects of the tariffs and any subsequent trade deals may or may not be, we’d like to take the opportunity to remind you that the average bear market lasts between 9 and 14 months, with an average loss of 30-35% from peak to bottom. The average bull market is 45 to 61 months, with an average gain of 150% to 200% from peak to bottom.
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We are here if you would like to call to discuss your portfolio and you are, of course, always welcome to stop in to see us!
Be Well,

Disclaimers
The information contained herein, including summary/prices/quotes/statistics have been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, but we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions and/or applicable laws, the content may no longer be reflective of current opinions or positions. Any comparison to a benchmark is for comparative purposes only and actual account composition may differ. Investments cannot be made directly into an index. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Past results are not indicative of future returns. This material is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended as and may not be relied on in any manner as, legal, tax or investment advice, a recommendation, or as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to purchase or a recommendation of any interest in any fund or security. This material does not intend to address the financial objectives, situation or specific needs of any individual investor.
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